Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sam Houston St Bearkats v Jacksonville St Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 20:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local)

Prediction 73.30%1.36fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -10.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.03%73.28%73.32%74.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.37%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV +0.123%
Edge +0.033%
Kelly +0.045%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.72%26.68%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.603.7529.41%28.09%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local): 73.30%; Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit): 26.70%. For Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.745. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.123%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.123%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:45
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:45
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.21%E -0.327%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:15
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.55%E -0.698%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 18:04
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.55%E -0.698%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 20:25
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -3.35%E -0.925%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 19:15
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:17
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:10
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 20:15
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 12:55
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.98%E -3.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 20:15
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.37%E -6.70%K -33.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 20:15
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -7.35%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.91%E -5.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.15%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 20:15
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.24%E -2.46%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:40
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.18%E -4.82%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%0.3%2026-02-21 20:25
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-21 20:25
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-02-21 19:15
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-02-21 20:25
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.66%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.34%2.1%2026-02-21 20:19