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Saint Mary's Gaels v Santa Clara Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saint Mary's Gaels (Local)
Prediction 66.15%1.51fair odd
EV -0.770%
Edge -0.513%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.29%65.71%66.08%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.461.451.5070.92%68.68%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santa Clara Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 33.85%2.95fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.608%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.29%33.92%36.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.672.622.9240.32%37.44%38.17%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Mary's Gaels (Local): 66.15%; Santa Clara Broncos (Visit): 33.85%. For Saint Mary's Gaels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -0.770%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.770%E -0.513%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.09%E -1.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.21%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -13.69%E -5.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -13.69%E -5.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -13.69%E -5.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -13.69%E -5.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.42%E -2.34%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -15.38%E -6.15%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.85%E -0.636%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 03:43 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 03:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.32%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.38%E -6.15%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.38%E -6.15%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.38%E -6.15%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.17%E -0.400%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.17%E -0.400%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.52%E -0.876%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.92%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 03:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -16.06%E -6.48%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.61% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 32.39% | -0.1% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 70.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 29.26% | 28.5% | 2026-03-10 03:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 70.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 29.26% | 28.5% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 70.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 29.26% | 28.5% | 2026-03-10 03:45 |