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Saint Mary's Gaels v Santa Clara Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saint Mary's Gaels (Local)
Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.85%67.92%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.58%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santa Clara Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.15%32.08%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.953.0536.36%34.11%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Mary's Gaels (Local): 67.95%; Santa Clara Broncos (Visit): 32.05%. For Saint Mary's Gaels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.44, with an expected value of -2.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.15%E -1.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 03:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -2.89%E -0.955%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 03:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 03:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 03:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.89%E -0.955%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 03:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.89%E -0.955%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.21%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 03:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 03:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 03:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 03:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -10.58%E -3.79%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:18 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 03:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.91%E -5.04%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.17%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.91%E -5.04%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 03:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.91%E -5.04%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 03:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.91%E -5.04%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 03:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 03:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 03:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 03:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52% | 1.5% | 2026-02-26 03:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 03:49 |