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Saint Mary's Gaels v Gonzaga Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saint Mary's Gaels (Local)
Prediction 44.94%2.22fair odd
EV +0.227%
Edge +0.102%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%44.85%44.73%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.062.2350.00%47.87%48.54%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 55.06%1.82fair odd
EV -0.901%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.15%55.27%56.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.63%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Mary's Gaels (Local): 44.94%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 55.06%. For Saint Mary's Gaels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.227%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV +0.227%E +0.102%K +0.185%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.222%E -0.100%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 03:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -5.17%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -6.07%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 03:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.10%E -1.76%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.901%E -0.500%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.11%E -5.06%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 03:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 03:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 03:31 |