Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Louis Billikens v Northern Kentucky Norse

2026-11-11 01:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

96%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Louis Billikens (Local)

Prediction 95.91%1.04fair odd

EV -3.13%

Edge -3.10%

Kelly -312.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.86%95.58%95.79%97.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit)

Prediction 4.09%24.47fair odd

EV +38.97%

Edge +1.15%

Kelly +1.18%

Growth +0.460%

assuming max odds 34.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.86%4.42%4.21%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

13.0021.1921.0034.007.69%4.72%4.76%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saint Louis Billikens (Local): 95.91%; Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit): 4.09%. For Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 24.47. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 34.00, producing a positive expected value of +38.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +38.97%E +1.15%K +1.18%G +0.460%	2.9%	2026-11-09 21:45
Fanatics🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +18.54%E +0.639%K +0.662%G +0.123%	2.5%	2026-11-10 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +6.27%E +0.241%K +0.251%G +0.016%	2.9%	2026-11-09 19:30
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +6.27%E +0.241%K +0.251%G +0.016%	2.9%	2026-11-09 21:50
DraftKings🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -5.99%E -0.260%K -0.272%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-09 22:40
GTbets🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -5.99%E -0.260%K -0.272%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-10 00:00
BetMGM🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -5.99%E -0.260%K -0.272%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-10 00:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -14.16%E -0.674%K -0.708%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-09 21:50
888sport🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -14.16%E -0.674%K -0.708%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-09 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -14.16%E -0.674%K -0.708%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-09 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -14.16%E -0.674%K -0.708%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-09 21:50
1xBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -14.16%E -0.674%K -0.708%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -14.16%E -0.674%K -0.708%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-10 00:20
Coral🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -14.16%E -0.674%K -0.708%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-10 00:19
Neds🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -30.51%E -1.79%K -1.91%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-10 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -30.51%E -1.79%K -1.91%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-10 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.31%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	16.75I 5.97%NM 5.69%EV -31.53%E -1.88%K -2.00%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 21:55
Bet Right🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.83%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -34.60%E -2.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 21:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -46.86%E -3.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-10 01:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -46.86%E -3.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-09 21:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%	2.0%	2026-11-10 01:35
Polymarket◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%	4.0%	2026-11-10 01:35
Novig◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%	4.0%	2026-11-10 01:50

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