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Saint Louis Billikens v Dayton Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saint Louis Billikens (Local)
Prediction 65.30%1.53fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.12%65.26%65.31%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.45%68.26%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dayton Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 34.70%2.88fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.601%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.74%34.69%36.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.712.8539.22%36.83%36.97%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Louis Billikens (Local): 65.30%; Dayton Flyers (Visit): 34.70%. For Dayton Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -11.52%E -4.52%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.81%E -0.638%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.81%E -0.638%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.81%E -0.638%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.93%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.11%E -0.390%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.11%E -0.390%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.09%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.11%E -0.390%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.11%E -0.390%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -5.62%E -2.07%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -5.97%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.58%E -6.13%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.59% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |