Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.22
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Joseph's Hawks (Local): 79.81%; Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Visit): 20.19%. For Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.950%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.82%E -4.94%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.950%E +0.190%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.62%E -5.66%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.950%E +0.190%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%EV -1.47%E -0.302%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.03%E -4.22%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -2.08%E -0.428%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.09%E -0.643%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -3.43%E -2.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -4.10%E -0.863%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 15:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.10%E -0.863%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.10%E -0.863%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.03%E -4.22%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.10%E -0.863%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.82%E -4.94%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.10%E -0.863%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -8.22%E -7.15%K -54.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.10%E -0.863%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.42%E -6.40%K -46.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.11%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.43%E -2.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.71%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -3.43%E -2.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -5.71%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.62%E -5.66%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.12%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.43%E -2.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.03%E -4.22%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.62%E -5.66%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.62%E -5.66%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.13%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.23%E -3.52%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.82%E -4.94%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.62%E -5.66%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.14%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -5.82%E -4.94%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -9.95%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 08:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.63%E -2.16%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.18%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.82%E -4.94%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.82%E -4.94%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.20%E -3.62%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.90% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 18.10% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.43% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.57% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.43% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.57% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |