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Saint Joseph's Hawks v Lafayette Leopards

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Joseph's Hawks (Local)

Prediction 93.29%1.07fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -74.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.51%93.21%93.52%94.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.021.021.0498.04%97.88%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lafayette Leopards (Visit)

Prediction 6.71%14.91fair odd
EV +20.76%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.253%

assuming max odds 18.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.36%6.79%6.48%8.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0013.6013.0018.009.09%7.35%7.69%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saint Joseph's Hawks (Local): 93.29%; Lafayette Leopards (Visit): 6.71%. For Lafayette Leopards (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.91. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 18.00, producing a positive expected value of +20.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +20.76%E +1.15%K +1.22%G +0.253%3.6%2026-11-07 00:16
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -2.98%E -2.86%K -74.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +0.631%E +0.042%K +0.045%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-07 00:15
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.631%E +0.042%K +0.045%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -4.40%E -0.309%K -0.332%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 00:15
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -6.08%E -0.434%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-07 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.79%E -0.984%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-07 00:10
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.79%E -0.984%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-07 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.79%E -0.984%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-07 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.79%E -0.984%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-07 00:10
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.79%E -0.984%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-07 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -26.20%E -2.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.84%E -4.75%K -242.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -26.20%E -2.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-11-07 00:10
Polymarket◎1.03I 97.09%NM 94.18%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.82%3.1%2026-11-07 00:35
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%6.0%2026-11-07 00:50

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