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Saint Joseph's Hawks v George Mason Patriots
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saint Joseph's Hawks (Local)
Prediction 49.72%2.01fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%49.72%49.87%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.911.9555.56%52.58%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
George Mason Patriots (Visit)
Prediction 50.28%1.99fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.28%50.13%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.871.9554.64%53.14%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Joseph's Hawks (Local): 49.72%; George Mason Patriots (Visit): 50.28%. For George Mason Patriots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -1.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.96%E -2.63%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 19:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -2.95%E -1.53%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.54%E -2.92%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.95%E -0.998%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.95%E -0.998%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 19:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -8.52%E -4.63%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -4.96%E -2.63%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.51%E -5.84%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.51%E -5.84%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 19:49 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26% | 2.0% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87% | 2.8% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |