Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacred Heart Pioneers v Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacred Heart Pioneers (Local)

Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.04%57.03%57.05%59.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.22%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.698%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.55%42.97%42.95%43.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.222.232.3646.51%45.02%44.94%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacred Heart Pioneers (Local): 56.93%; Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Visit): 43.07%. For Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV +1.65%E +0.698%K +1.21%G +0.020%4.5%2026-02-27 20:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.62%E -6.76%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.937%E -0.408%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 23:24
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 23:24
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 19:23
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 23:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 23:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 23:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 08:10
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.52%E -1.57%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:49
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:49
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:44
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 23:24
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:24
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:24
888sport🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 23:34
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 20:49
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 23:44
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 23:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 20:49
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.21%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.21%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:24
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-02-27 23:39
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-02-27 23:29
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-02-27 22:59
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%1.8%2026-02-27 23:54
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-02-27 23:44