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Sacramento St Hornets v Idaho Vandals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sacramento St Hornets (Local)
Prediction 35.75%2.80fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.970%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.07%35.60%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.602.7540.82%38.44%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Idaho Vandals (Visit)
Prediction 64.25%1.56fair odd
EV +0.236%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.421%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.93%64.40%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.78%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento St Hornets (Local): 35.75%; Idaho Vandals (Visit): 64.25%. For Idaho Vandals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.556. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.560, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.236%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV +0.236%E +0.151%K +0.421%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.69%E -1.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -2.33%E -1.54%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.33%E -1.54%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.98%E -1.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.70%E -0.617%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 02:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 02:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 02:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.26%E -2.86%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.70%E -0.617%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 02:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.70%E -0.617%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.77%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -5.63%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79% | 2.9% | 2026-02-22 02:50 |