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Rider Broncs v Niagara Purple Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rider Broncs (Local)
Prediction 47.20%2.12fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.473%
Kelly +0.888%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.71%47.31%47.14%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.1454.64%50.15%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Niagara Purple Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 52.80%1.89fair odd
EV +0.844%
Edge +0.442%
Kelly +0.928%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.69%52.86%55.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.811.9159.17%55.31%55.25%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rider Broncs (Local): 47.20%; Niagara Purple Eagles (Visit): 52.80%. For Rider Broncs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV +1.01%E +0.473%K +0.888%G +0.009% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.876%E -0.417%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.876%E -0.417%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.876%E -0.417%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.876%E -0.417%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 15:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -1.35%E -0.645%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -10.77%E -6.37%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.24%E -6.03%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -5.12%E -2.55%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.13%E -4.67%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 13:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 16:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.96%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.27%E -0.678%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.96%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.90%E -4.61%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.844%E +0.442%K +0.928%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.844%E +0.442%K +0.928%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 16:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.316%E +0.166%K +0.351%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.316%E +0.166%K +0.351%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.316%E +0.166%K +0.351%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 0.1% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30% | 2.3% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92% | 2.5% | 2026-02-22 16:53 |