Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.84
assuming max odds 2.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Spiders (Local): 53.40%; St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit): 46.60%. For Richmond Spiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.84, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.74%E -0.944%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 20:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.87%E -2.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.01%E -1.95%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.94%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.48%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.48%E -3.09%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.54%E -3.74%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.34%E -3.15%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.34%E -3.15%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.08%E -4.07%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.61%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 22:40 |