Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Spiders (Local): 64.34%; Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Visit): 35.66%. For Richmond Spiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.370%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.370%E +0.237%K +0.660%G +0.002% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-11 17:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.93%E -0.703%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.29%E -0.836%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.29%E -0.836%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.85%E -4.34%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -3.49%E -2.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -12.28%E -4.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -5.14%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.93%E -0.703%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -9.42%E -3.71%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.42%E -3.69%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.42%E -3.69%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.42%E -3.69%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.72%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.57%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-03-11 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 17:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |