L’École des cotes

Richmond Spiders v Dayton Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Richmond Spiders (Local)

Prévision 34.17%2.93cote équitable
EV -0.915%
Avantage -0.315%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.86%34.25%34.27%35.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.802.9038.46%35.97%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dayton Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.83%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -5.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.20%65.75%65.73%67.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.51%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.915%E -0.315%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:30
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.28%E -0.798%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:40
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.28%E -0.798%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:40
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:40
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 22:45
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 22:45
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 22:44
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:40
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:45
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:38
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:45
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:45
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:45
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:45
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:45
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -8.49%E -6.11%K -21.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 22:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.23%E -2.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 22:25
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:35
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 22:54
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 19:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:45
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:45
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 22:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:45
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:35
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:55
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:34
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:55
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:40
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 19:40
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 20:55
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 22:30
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -6.38%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:20
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -7.41%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 23:55
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 22:45
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:50
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 22:45
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-03-03 23:55
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-03-03 23:50
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-03 23:05
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-03-03 23:34
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-03-03 23:50