Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.15
assuming max odds 6.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rice Owls (Local): 85.03%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 14.97%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.55, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -17.65%E -3.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -2.22%E -1.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -20.64%E -3.90%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.07%E -2.69%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -13.16%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.07%E -2.69%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -20.64%E -3.90%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.07%E -2.69%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -21.39%E -4.07%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 12:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.29%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.71%EV -1.93%E -0.294%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.68%E -0.412%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.28%E -0.507%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.28%E -0.507%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -3.42%E -0.531%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -3.42%E -0.531%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.42%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 15:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.42%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -7.17%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.92%E -3.47%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -19.15%E -3.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.68%E -0.412%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.68%E -0.412%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.68%E -0.412%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 11:37 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.42%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.42%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.42%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:12 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.16%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.16%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.65%E -3.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.77%E -4.26%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.65%E -3.21%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.62%E -5.06%K -51.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.68%E -0.412%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.62%E -5.06%K -51.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.16%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.62%E -5.06%K -51.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -13.16%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.62%E -5.06%K -51.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.91%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.62%E -5.06%K -51.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.91%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.47%E -5.88%K -64.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.16%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.47%E -5.88%K -64.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.16%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 18:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.21% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.79% | 0.0% | 2026-03-08 18:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 18:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 18:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.57% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.43% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |