Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Queens University Royals v West Georgia Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Queens University Royals (Local)

Prediction 84.83%1.18fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -16.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.89%84.63%84.71%85.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.121.1590.91%88.62%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Georgia Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 15.17%6.59fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.249%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.21%15.37%15.29%18.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.846.006.7019.23%17.12%16.67%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Queens University Royals (Local): 84.83%; West Georgia Wolves (Visit): 15.17%. For West Georgia Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.12%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.67%E +0.249%K +0.293%G +0.005%5.0%2026-02-21 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.15%E -3.67%K -31.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -1.37%E -0.210%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.37%E -0.210%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 10:35
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.37%E -0.210%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.37%E -0.210%K -0.248%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.15%E -3.67%K -31.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.16%E -0.825%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.16%E -0.825%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:30
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.16%E -0.825%K -0.983%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:04
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -5.16%E -0.825%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 07:09
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -4.15%E -3.67%K -31.90%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV -6.07%E -0.981%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.44%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.44%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.44%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -7.44%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:05
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.95%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.00%E -4.46%K -41.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.95%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.95%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.75%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 16:30
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.75%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 16:30
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.75%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.33%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.33%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.33%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.33%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.33%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.33%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:40
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.33%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -21.09%E -4.06%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -21.09%E -4.06%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -21.09%E -4.06%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.45%E -2.13%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -21.09%E -4.06%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.16I 86.21%NM 86.21%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.79%0.0%2026-02-21 19:50
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-02-21 19:50
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-02-21 19:35
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.97%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.03%2.3%2026-02-21 19:05
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.16%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.84%3.0%2026-02-21 19:30