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Purdue Boilermakers v Wisconsin Badgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Purdue Boilermakers (Local)
Prediction 78.91%1.27fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -12.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.40%78.80%78.81%80.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.211.221.2383.33%82.40%81.97%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)
Prediction 21.09%4.74fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.684%
Kelly +0.860%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%21.20%21.19%23.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.394.404.9025.32%22.77%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 78.91%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visit): 21.09%. For Wisconsin Badgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.35%E +0.684%K +0.860%G +0.029% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +1.88%E +0.388%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +1.88%E +0.388%K +0.490%G +0.009% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.52%E -3.74%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.866%E -0.184%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.52%E -3.74%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.97%E -0.647%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 21:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.97%E -0.647%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.08%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.08%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.08%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.08%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.52%E -3.74%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.08%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 21:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.08%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.19%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.67%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.36%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.94%E -2.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.41%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.41%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.31%E -4.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.41%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.63%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.63%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.63%E -3.91%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -16.68%E -4.22%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.73%E -3.06%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -16.68%E -4.22%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.75% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.25% | -0.1% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.27% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.73% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 21:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 48.05% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 51.95% | 73.4% | 2026-03-07 21:15 |