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Purdue Boilermakers v Northwestern Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Purdue Boilermakers (Local)
Prediction 87.75%1.14fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -23.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.41%87.64%87.67%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.86%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 12.25%8.17fair odd
EV +10.22%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.131%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%12.36%12.33%14.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.457.307.319.0015.50%13.69%13.67%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 87.75%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 12.25%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.17. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +10.22%E +1.14%K +1.28%G +0.131% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +4.10%E +0.482%K +0.547%G +0.022% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +4.10%E +0.482%K +0.547%G +0.022% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.23%E -4.84%K -65.34%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +1.65%E +0.199%K +0.226%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.76%EV +0.182%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.02%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.02%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.23%E -4.84%K -65.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.02%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -5.08%E -0.656%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%EV -2.59%E -2.34%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%EV -6.92%E -0.911%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.23%E -4.84%K -65.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.23%E -4.84%K -65.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.98%E -6.59%K -116.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.98%E -6.59%K -116.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.98%E -6.59%K -116.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.59%E -2.34%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -12.68%E -1.78%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.59%E -2.34%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -12.68%E -1.78%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 14:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.80%EV -5.23%E -4.84%K -65.34%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.20%EV -13.04%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.59%E -2.34%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.10%E -5.71%K -87.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.47%E -3.16%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -17.33%E -2.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.59%E -2.34%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -20.39%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -20.39%E -3.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.54%EV -4.35%E -3.99%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -21.01%E -3.26%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.95% | 9.94I 10.06%NM 10.05% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.12% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.88% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 22:10 |