Language:English
Purdue Boilermakers v Michigan St Spartans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Purdue Boilermakers (Local)
Prediction 71.47%1.40fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -7.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%71.50%71.43%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.30%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michigan St Spartans (Visit)
Prediction 28.53%3.50fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%28.50%28.57%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.343.6032.26%30.19%29.94%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 71.47%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 28.53%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.72%E +0.756%K +1.05%G +0.029% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.131%E -0.037%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.131%E -0.037%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.131%E -0.037%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -0.987%E -0.284%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.98%E -0.878%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.98%E -0.878%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 00:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.70%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.70%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.70%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 00:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.27%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 00:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 00:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.81%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 00:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 00:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 00:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.12%E -3.21%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.24%E -3.16%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.12%E -3.21%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.52%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.54%E -3.72%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.54%E -3.72%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 00:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-02-27 00:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.20% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.80% | 1.9% | 2026-02-27 00:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-27 00:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54% | 2.5% | 2026-02-27 00:55 |