Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 75.44%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 24.56%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.696%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.696%E +0.170%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.696%E +0.170%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV +0.205%E +0.050%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -0.286%E -0.070%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -0.286%E -0.070%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -1.76%E -0.440%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.76%E -0.440%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 15:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.76%E -0.440%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.76%E -0.440%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.76%E -0.440%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.76%E -0.440%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.96%E -6.53%K -36.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.76%E -0.440%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:08 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.67%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.67%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.19%E -3.30%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -4.95%E -3.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -8.64%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.44%E -2.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.45%E -5.21%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.36%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.36%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 14:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.44%E -2.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.70%E -4.56%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.68%E -2.08%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.44%E -2.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.74% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 24.26% | 0.0% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 16:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |