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Providence Friars v Xavier Musketeers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Providence Friars (Local)
Prediction 69.60%1.44fair odd
EV +0.918%
Edge +0.633%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%69.43%69.98%71.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.391.4576.34%72.65%71.94%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xavier Musketeers (Visit)
Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV +0.325%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.141%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.57%30.02%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.3035.71%32.86%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Friars (Local): 69.60%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 30.40%. For Providence Friars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.918%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +0.918%E +0.633%K +2.04%G +0.019% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 06:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -0.474%E -0.332%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 04:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -1.87%E -1.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-24 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.67%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-24 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.67%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-24 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 06:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.26%E -2.34%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 05:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.26%E -2.34%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.72%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-23 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.72%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-23 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.24%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.24%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 06:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 06:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 06:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 04:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.04%E -4.48%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.325%E +0.099%K +0.141%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-23 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -6.74%E -5.03%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -1.80%E -0.558%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.19%E -0.368%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.19%E -0.368%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 12:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-23 23:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-23 23:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -8.83%E -6.74%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -2.11%E -0.654%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-23 20:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04% | -0.0% | 2026-02-24 03:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-24 04:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 03:25 |