Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Princeton Tigers v Harvard Crimson

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Princeton Tigers (Local)

Prediction 37.20%2.69fair odd
EV -0.291%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.173%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%37.18%37.11%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6841.67%39.31%39.22%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Harvard Crimson (Visit)

Prediction 62.80%1.59fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.58%62.82%62.89%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.531.5668.97%65.95%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Princeton Tigers (Local): 37.20%; Harvard Crimson (Visit): 62.80%. For Princeton Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -0.291%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.291%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.41%E -0.531%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.18%E -3.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 23:29
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.15%E -0.818%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 23:54
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.52%E -0.963%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.95%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:29
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.52%E -0.963%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.95%E -6.17%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 14:24
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.30%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.30%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 21:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.90%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.30%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 21:49
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 21:49
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.30%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 23:29
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 21:49
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -3.30%E -2.14%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 23:49
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.01%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 21:52
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:19
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:19
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:19
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 22:18
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.81%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.81%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 22:19
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.81%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 22:19
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.44%E -4.32%K -13.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.69%E -5.23%K -16.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 17:24
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 22:29
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.04%E -1.31%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:29
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:29
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:29
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.92%E -2.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 23:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 21:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.81%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 13:34
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 21:54
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.55%E -2.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 21:39
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 22:59
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.87%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 22:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.06%E -4.77%K -14.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-02-27 22:34
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-02-27 22:24
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-02-27 22:09
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-02-27 23:54
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-02-27 23:54