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Portland Pilots v Pepperdine Waves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Pilots (Local)
Prediction 60.00%1.67fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.00%60.05%60.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6265.36%62.97%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pepperdine Waves (Visit)
Prediction 40.00%2.50fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.03%40.00%39.95%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.372.382.4544.64%42.25%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Pilots (Local): 60.00%; Pepperdine Waves (Visit): 40.00%. For Pepperdine Waves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 01:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 01:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 01:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.00%E -0.817%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 01:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.40%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.80%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.80%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.80%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.80%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.00%E -4.44%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.00%E -0.817%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 00:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.20%E -1.32%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -10.40%E -4.64%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.20%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 23:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.20%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.80%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 23:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.80%E -2.92%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -4.40%E -1.84%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:10 |