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Pittsburgh Panthers v Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)
Prediction 56.35%1.77fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.27%56.35%56.40%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.26%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)
Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.65%43.60%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.172.182.2547.85%46.02%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 56.35%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 43.65%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.94%E -1.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.72%E -2.65%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.94%E -1.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.94%E -1.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.94%E -1.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.94%E -1.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.94%E -1.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.20%E -2.47%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.76%E -2.82%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.80%E -0.799%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.76%E -2.82%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.76%E -2.82%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.78%E -4.20%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.23%E -0.997%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.33%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.11%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.33%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.33%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.33%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.33%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.33%E -3.17%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.89%E -3.53%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.80%E -0.799%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.89%E -3.53%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.89%E -3.53%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.29%E -2.44%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.89%E -3.53%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -7.02%E -4.25%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.72%E -2.65%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.02%E -4.25%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.16%E -2.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.02%E -4.25%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -6.60%E -3.08%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.02%E -4.25%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.02%E -4.25%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.34%E -3.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.14%E -5.00%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.14%E -5.00%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.85%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.71%E -5.37%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.98%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 18:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |