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Pittsburgh Panthers v Florida St Seminoles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)
Prediction 46.88%2.13fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%46.82%46.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.50%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida St Seminoles (Visit)
Prediction 53.12%1.88fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.18%53.25%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.801.8357.80%56.07%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 46.88%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 53.12%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.55%E -0.740%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.49%E -1.20%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.91%E -2.75%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.51%E -3.70%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 01:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.84%E -2.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.91%E -2.75%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.91%E -2.75%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.91%E -2.75%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 04:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.30%E -2.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 01:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 01:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 0.1% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |