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Penn State Nittany Lions v Ohio State Buckeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)
Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV +6.00%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.124%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%27.19%27.23%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.453.353.9031.45%29.01%29.85%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)
Prediction 72.82%1.37fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -7.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.67%72.81%72.77%75.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.311.3478.13%76.23%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 27.18%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 72.82%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +6.00%E +1.54%K +2.07%G +0.124% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 00:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +5.73%E +1.47%K +1.98%G +0.114% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +5.73%E +1.47%K +1.98%G +0.114% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +5.73%E +1.47%K +1.98%G +0.114% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +2.74%E +0.724%K +0.985%G +0.027% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 00:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.564%E +0.152%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.564%E +0.152%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.795%E -0.218%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.61%E -3.52%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.61%E -3.52%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.61%E -3.52%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.24%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.88%E -2.94%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.51%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.51%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.61%E -3.52%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.61%E -3.52%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.15%E -2.37%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.79%E -5.30%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.15%E -2.37%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.88%E -2.94%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.88%E -2.94%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.42%E -1.81%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.15%E -2.37%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.67%E -3.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.15%E -2.37%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.67%E -3.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.15%E -2.37%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.67%E -3.59%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.88%E -2.94%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.03%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.03%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -13.57%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -3.88%E -2.94%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.56% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.44% | -0.1% | 2026-03-05 00:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.65% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.35% | 2.5% | 2026-03-05 00:30 |