Language:English
Penn State Nittany Lions v Iowa Hawkeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Penn State Nittany Lions (Local)
Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd
EV +5.60%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.54%19.15%19.09%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.854.755.5022.73%20.63%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)
Prediction 80.80%1.24fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -15.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%80.85%80.91%82.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.75%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Penn State Nittany Lions (Local): 19.20%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 80.80%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +5.60%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.070% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +4.84%E +0.886%K +1.08%G +0.052% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +4.84%E +0.886%K +1.08%G +0.052% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +1.76%E +0.333%K +0.410%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.805%E +0.153%K +0.189%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.08%E -0.407%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.08%E -0.407%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.00%E -0.799%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.00%E -0.799%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.00%E -0.799%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.00%E -0.799%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.00%E -0.799%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.96%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.61%EV -5.53%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.39%EV -3.04%E -2.53%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.27%E -5.41%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.04%E -2.53%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.85%E -3.23%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.27%E -5.41%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.76%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.27%E -5.41%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -10.72%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.04%E -2.53%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -14.36%E -3.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.47I 18.28%NM 18.24% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.76% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.32% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.68% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |