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Pacific Tigers v San Francisco Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pacific Tigers (Local)
Prediction 61.26%1.63fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%61.25%61.25%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6166.67%63.77%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Francisco Dons (Visit)
Prediction 38.74%2.58fair odd
EV +0.726%
Edge +0.279%
Kelly +0.454%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.75%38.75%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.422.6043.48%41.47%41.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pacific Tigers (Local): 61.26%; San Francisco Dons (Visit): 38.74%. For San Francisco Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.726%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.726%E +0.279%K +0.454%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -5.66%E -3.68%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -0.436%E -0.170%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.21%E -0.475%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.44%E -2.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.37%E -0.942%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 22:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.15%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.44%E -2.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.15%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.50%E -4.97%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.15%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.11%E -5.41%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.31%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.60%E -1.63%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 22:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.05%E -3.26%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.05%E -3.26%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.05%E -3.26%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.50%E -4.97%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.82%E -2.43%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.50%E -4.97%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.05%E -3.26%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.05%E -3.26%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -10.12%E -4.36%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -10.12%E -4.36%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -1.37%E -0.852%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -10.12%E -4.36%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -1.99%E -1.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -10.12%E -4.36%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.99%E -1.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |