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Pacific Tigers v Air Force Falcons

2026-11-14 21:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pacific Tigers (Local)

Prediction 83.24%1.20fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -28.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.53%83.29%83.21%83.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.121.1590.09%88.45%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 16.76%5.97fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.187%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.19%16.71%16.79%18.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.515.505.9020.41%18.16%18.18%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pacific Tigers (Local): 83.24%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 16.76%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.97. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.90, with an expected value of -1.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.62%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-14 00:35
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-14 00:39
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-14 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-14 00:34
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -1.10%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-14 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.62%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.62%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 00:34
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.62%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-14 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.81%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:30
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.81%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.81%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:30
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.81%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:55
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.81%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.81%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:30
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.81%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.00%E -2.29%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 00:35
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -12.00%E -2.29%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 00:34
picklebet_au🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -17.86%E -3.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-14 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-11-14 00:35
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-11-14 00:55
Novig◎1.17I 85.47%NM 82.99%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.01%3.0%2026-11-14 00:45

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