Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers v San Francisco Dons

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Prediction 38.35%2.61fair odd
EV -0.285%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.37%38.42%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.452.6042.55%40.73%40.90%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Dons (Visit)

Prediction 61.65%1.62fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%61.63%61.58%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.5967.57%64.53%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon St Beavers (Local): 38.35%; San Francisco Dons (Visit): 61.65%. For Oregon St Beavers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.285%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.285%E -0.109%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-09 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.20%E -0.864%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.20%E -0.864%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.20%E -0.864%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 22:19
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 21:49
Caesars🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 23:59
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:02
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:49
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:49
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:49
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 22:14
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 21:49
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.89%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:05
Bet Right🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.89%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 21:54
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.98%E -1.25%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 22:59
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.42%E -2.63%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.60%E -1.64%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.60%E -1.64%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 22:54
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:54
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:54
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.80%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:54
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.21%E -2.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:54
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:54
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:54
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 19:29
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 19:29
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 00:04
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 21:50
SportsBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -8.34%E -3.49%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -8.72%E -3.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 22:54
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.49%E -4.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%-0.1%2026-03-09 00:04
ProphetX2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-03-09 00:15
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-03-09 00:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-09 00:19
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%2.7%2026-03-09 00:05