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Ole Miss Rebels v Florida Gators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ole Miss Rebels (Local)
Prediction 12.20%8.20fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +0.434%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.18%12.26%11.99%15.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.547.508.5016.67%13.27%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Gators (Visit)
Prediction 87.80%1.14fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -34.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.63%87.74%88.01%88.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.091.1094.34%92.34%91.74%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 12.20%; Florida Gators (Visit): 87.80%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.20. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +3.69%E +0.434%K +0.492%G +0.018% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +3.69%E +0.434%K +0.492%G +0.018% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.05%E -5.66%K -86.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +2.47%E +0.294%K +0.334%G +0.008% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +1.50%E +0.180%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV +1.50%E +0.180%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.93%E -6.54%K -115.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.93%E -6.54%K -115.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.93%E -6.54%K -115.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV -5.58%E -0.721%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -3.42%E -3.11%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.42%E -3.11%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.05%E -5.66%K -86.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.05%E -5.66%K -86.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.42%E -3.11%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.05%E -5.66%K -86.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.05%E -5.66%K -86.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.05%E -5.66%K -86.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.05%E -5.66%K -86.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -17.66%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -17.66%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -17.66%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.17%E -4.79%K -64.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -26.81%E -4.47%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -4.30%E -3.94%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 16:47 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 9.56I 10.46%NM 10.49% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.51% | -0.3% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Novig◎ | 10.42I 9.60%NM 9.55% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.45% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.46% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.54% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |