Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.35
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 71.74%; Longwood Lancers (Visit): 28.26%. For Longwood Lancers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -3.16%E -2.34%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-11-14 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.16%E -2.34%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-11-14 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-11-14 19:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-11-14 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-11-14 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-14 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-14 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.49%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-14 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-14 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-14 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-14 20:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-14 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-14 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.08%E -0.307%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-11-14 16:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -4.02%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 20:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.03%E -4.60%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.08%E -0.307%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-11-14 16:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.03%E -4.60%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -2.77%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-11-14 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.03%E -4.60%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.03%E -4.60%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -6.03%E -4.60%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -7.29%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-11-14 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-14 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-14 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-14 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-14 03:27 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-14 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-14 18:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.74%E -5.19%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-11-14 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.46%E -5.78%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.08%E -0.307%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-14 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.46%E -5.78%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.08%E -0.307%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.46%E -5.78%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -8.18%E -6.39%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-11-14 20:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 2.0% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08% | 7.0% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
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