Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.74
assuming max odds 2.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 56.39%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 43.61%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.573%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 00:22 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.573%E -0.251%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-23 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-23 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.08%E -4.96%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.08%E -4.96%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -10.34%E -6.50%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89% | 1.3% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 00:24 |