Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 50.70%1.97fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%50.73%50.80%53.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.831.9456.82%54.08%54.64%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 49.30%2.03fair odd
EV -0.416%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.407%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.84%49.27%49.20%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.912.0254.64%51.88%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 50.70%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 49.30%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.416%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.64%E -0.846%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:59
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:05
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:59
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:59
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.18%E -2.21%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.85%E -2.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:04
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.37%E -1.72%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:01
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:04
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.19%E -2.78%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:58
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:59
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.40%E -0.701%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.40%E -0.701%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:04
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.40%E -0.701%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.40%E -0.701%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.40%E -0.701%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:04
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.39%E -1.21%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 00:04
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:01
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 23:59
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.33%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 23:59
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.81%E -4.18%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:00
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-24 23:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.78%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.72%E -4.24%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.37%E -1.72%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 00:04
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.72%E -4.24%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 00:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.23%E -4.55%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -8.74%E -4.85%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.36%E -2.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -8.74%E -4.85%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -4.36%E -2.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -9.75%E -5.48%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -0.416%E -0.206%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 00:05
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.77%E -6.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -2.88%E -1.46%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-02-25 00:04
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-02-25 00:05
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%2.6%2026-02-25 00:04
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-02-24 23:59
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%8.1%2026-02-25 00:05