Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 8.54
assuming max odds 1.11
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 12.09%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 87.91%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.27. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +3.25%E +0.381%K +0.432%G +0.014% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +3.25%E +0.381%K +0.432%G +0.014% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.77%E +0.326%K +0.369%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.77%E +0.326%K +0.369%G +0.010% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.77%E +0.326%K +0.369%G +0.010% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.42I 11.88%NM 11.46%EV +1.80%E +0.214%K +0.243%G +0.004% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.54%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -0.856%E -0.104%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.89%EV -1.46%E -0.179%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.11%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 14:02 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -6.30%E -0.813%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -10.53%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.37%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -12.95%E -1.80%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.37%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.37%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.37%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.37%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.37%E -2.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.39%E -2.72%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -18.39%E -2.72%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -21.41%E -3.29%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -21.41%E -3.29%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.41%E -3.29%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -22.62%E -3.53%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -24.43%E -3.91%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -24.43%E -3.91%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.55% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.45% | -0.2% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.40% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.60% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Novig◎ | 9.01I 11.10%NM 11.06% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.94% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 16:40 |