Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys v Davidson Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 72.06%1.39fair odd

EV -2.72%

Edge -2.01%

Kelly -7.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.45%72.13%72.03%73.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.311.311.3577.52%76.06%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Davidson Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd

EV +0.853%

Edge +0.236%

Kelly +0.327%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.48%27.87%27.97%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.353.303.6132.26%29.83%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowboys (Local): 72.06%; Davidson Wildcats (Visit): 27.94%. For Davidson Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.853%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%	3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV +0.853%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%	4.6%	2026-03-17 23:15
DraftKings🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.574%E +0.159%K +0.221%G +0.001%	4.1%	2026-03-17 23:10
GTbets🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.88%E -3.69%K -15.24%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.823%E -0.232%K -0.323%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-17 23:10
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.22%E -0.634%K -0.888%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-17 18:20
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.22%E -0.634%K -0.888%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-17 18:19
William Hill🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.27%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.22%E -0.634%K -0.888%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-17 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.62%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-17 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.62%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-17 18:20
FanDuel🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-17 17:15
SportsBet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%	3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -6.97%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-17 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-17 23:10
Neds🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-17 23:10
TAB🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.88%E -3.69%K -15.24%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-17 22:10
BetMGM🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.72%E -2.01%K -7.76%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-17 23:10
Fliff🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-17 23:15
Betsson🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-17 23:10
NordicBet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-17 23:10
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-17 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.27%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-17 17:20
Coral🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-17 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-17 23:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.82%	4.14I 24.15%NM 24.18%	-0.1%	2026-03-17 23:55
ProphetX◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%	3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%	0.9%	2026-03-17 23:50
Novig◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78%	3.77I 26.53%NM 26.22%	1.2%	2026-03-17 23:35
Kalshi◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.2%	2026-03-17 21:50
Polymarket◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.2%	2026-03-17 17:20