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Ohio State Buckeyes v TCU Horned Frogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)
Prediction 55.82%1.79fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.59%55.81%55.84%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7460.61%58.48%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)
Prediction 44.18%2.26fair odd
EV -0.588%
Edge -0.261%
Kelly -0.471%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.19%44.16%45.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.122.2548.78%46.92%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 55.82%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 44.18%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.588%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 16:13 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.88%E -1.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.45%E -2.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.44%E -1.99%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.10%E -3.89%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.99%E -2.32%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.54%E -4.13%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.99%E -2.32%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.54%E -4.13%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.55%E -2.66%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.55%E -2.66%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 15:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.55%E -2.66%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.68%E -1.69%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 16:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.55%E -2.66%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.33%E -2.99%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.588%E -0.261%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.588%E -0.261%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.68%E -1.69%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.66%E -3.66%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.42%E -4.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.01%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.10%E -3.89%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.10%E -3.89%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.79%E -4.06%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.34%E -4.42%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -5.89%E -2.77%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 16:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.22%E -3.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60% | 0.2% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 14:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 16:14 |