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Ohio State Buckeyes v Iowa Hawkeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)
Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%47.29%46.84%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.981.982.0654.64%50.62%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)
Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.598%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.71%53.16%53.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.9157.80%54.90%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 47.05%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 52.95%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.14%E +0.598%K +1.26%G +0.014% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 15:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.14%E +0.598%K +1.26%G +0.014% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.084%E +0.044%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.084%E +0.044%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.446%E -0.237%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.446%E -0.237%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.446%E -0.237%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.446%E -0.237%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.67%E -5.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.446%E -0.237%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.67%E -5.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.446%E -0.237%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.67%E -5.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.446%E -0.237%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.976%E -0.522%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.976%E -0.522%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.03%E -1.10%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -2.03%E -1.10%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -2.03%E -1.10%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.09%E -1.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.62%E -1.99%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.62%E -1.99%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.62%E -1.99%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.15%E -2.29%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.68%E -2.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.09%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.74%E -3.23%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.27%E -3.54%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.33%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -5.44%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.86%E -4.52%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -5.44%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.86%E -4.52%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.39%E -4.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.39%E -4.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.4% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |