Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes v Indiana Hoosiers

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 59.93%1.67fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.94%60.10%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.48%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Hoosiers (Visit)

Prediction 40.07%2.50fair odd
EV +0.178%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.06%39.90%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.5043.48%41.69%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 59.93%; Indiana Hoosiers (Visit): 40.07%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.496. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.178%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.178%E +0.071%K +0.119%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 22:04
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.623%E -0.251%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.623%E -0.251%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.623%E -0.251%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:04
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.623%E -0.251%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.623%E -0.251%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.623%E -0.251%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.623%E -0.251%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:04
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.91%E -3.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.42%E -0.579%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.71%E -2.96%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 22:04
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.51%E -4.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.63%E -1.08%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.71%E -5.01%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.63%E -1.08%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 22:05
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 22:04
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 22:24
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 22:15
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 22:28
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.71%E -2.96%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.71%E -2.96%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:59
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.91%E -3.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.91%E -3.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.91%E -5.86%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 22:04
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.92%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.43%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.32%E -1.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:04
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.32%E -1.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:19
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.92%E -1.80%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:04
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.11%E -2.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.71%E -2.96%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:24
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.11%E -2.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.23%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.23%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 22:24
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 22:04
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 22:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.91%E -3.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 22:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.91%E -3.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 22:19
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.71%E -5.01%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-07 22:35
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-03-07 22:35
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%3.3%2026-03-07 22:34