Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio Bobcats v Toledo Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 55.17%1.81fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.14%55.27%56.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.7760.61%57.87%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 44.83%2.23fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.80%44.86%44.73%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.102.1548.78%47.43%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio Bobcats (Local): 55.17%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 44.83%. For Ohio Bobcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -2.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 20:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:34
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:34
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:34
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:44
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:59
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:59
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:58
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:28
TAB🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:44
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 20:34
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 20:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 20:34
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 15:09
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.66%E -3.72%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:34
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:44
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 20:24
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:33
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:02
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -8.41%E -5.07%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -4.52%E -2.12%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-02-28 20:24
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-28 20:14
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-02-28 20:54
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%2.4%2026-02-28 20:54