Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oakland Golden Grizzlies v Northern Kentucky Norse

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oakland Golden Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 53.96%1.85fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.23%53.98%54.26%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.771.8158.82%56.98%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit)

Prediction 46.04%2.17fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%46.02%45.74%46.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.062.1550.00%48.44%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (Local): 53.96%; Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit): 46.04%. For Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.15%E -2.50%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:54
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:08
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.15%E -2.50%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 21:49
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 21:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:24
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 22:25
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:24
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:25
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.07%E -2.98%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.07%E -2.98%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:25
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:30
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.469%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.469%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.469%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:00
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.469%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.11%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -7.45%E -3.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 21:55
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.47%E -0.686%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.73%E -4.52%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.01%E -0.469%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 21:50
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 21:50
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-03-04 23:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-04 23:20
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-03-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-04 23:30
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-04 23:55