Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 4.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (Local): 75.72%; Detroit Mercy Titans (Visit): 24.28%. For Detroit Mercy Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.750%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.10%E -4.92%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.750%E +0.181%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.464%E -0.113%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -4.59%E -3.64%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -0.707%E -0.173%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -2.89%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 02:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.89%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.89%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.89%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.89%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.89%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.62%E -6.24%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.89%E -0.723%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.86%E -5.58%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -3.86%E -0.975%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.83%E -3.02%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.11%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -7.62%E -6.24%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.83%E -3.02%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.59%E -3.64%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.32%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 12:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.83%E -3.02%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.53%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.10%E -4.92%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.86%E -5.58%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.86%E -5.58%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.75%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.96%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.62%E -6.24%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.62%E -6.24%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.07%E -2.40%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.60%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.97% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 22.03% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |