Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Villanova Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 14:30 UTC

Final: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 74–72 Villanova Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

28%

72%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd

EV +1.99%

Edge +0.538%

Kelly +0.738%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.70%27.55%27.54%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.81%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Villanova Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 72.43%1.38fair odd

EV -2.94%

Edge -2.19%

Kelly -8.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.96%72.45%72.46%74.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.311.301.3478.13%76.50%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 27.57%; Villanova Wildcats (Visit): 72.43%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
PlayUp🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.99%E +0.538%K +0.738%G +0.015%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-29 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.765%E -0.212%K -0.294%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.49%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
picklebet_au🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.765%E -0.212%K -0.294%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-01 13:35
ReBet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.765%E -0.212%K -0.294%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 13:14
BetUS🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-01 14:24
betPARX🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:10
BetRivers🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:10
Bally Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
Unibet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.14%E -0.604%K -0.840%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
theScore Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-01 14:25
Pinnacle🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-01 14:25
Bovada🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-01 14:22
Betway🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-01 14:20
FanDuel🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-01 12:29
GTbets🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.39%E -3.32%K -13.71%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-01 14:25
Fanatics🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.49%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.49%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-30 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
TABtouch🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
BoyleSports🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 13:25
William Hill🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 02:19
888sport🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 02:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 02:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 14:15
Paddy Power🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-31 12:20
1xBet🎯	3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.35%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-31 05:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 14:25
Bet Right🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 13:05
DraftKings🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.94%E -2.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-01 14:25
Caesars🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-01 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-01 14:25
BetMGM🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-01 12:10
NordicBet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-01 05:10
Betsson🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-01 05:10
TAB🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.94%E -2.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 14:25
Neds🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-01 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-01 12:09
Fliff🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-01 14:25
Coral🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-01 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.45%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-01 12:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%	0.7%	2026-11-01 14:20
Kalshi◎	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	1.2%	2026-11-01 13:00
Polymarket◎	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	1.2%	2026-11-01 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%	1.3%	2026-11-01 14:25
ProphetX◎	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%	1.5%	2026-11-01 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%	1.5%	2026-11-01 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%	1.7%	2026-11-01 14:25
BetOpenly◎	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%	2.6%	2026-11-01 14:25

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