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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Stanford Cardinal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)
Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%47.90%47.78%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.982.0252.36%50.49%50.51%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stanford Cardinal (Visit)
Prediction 52.18%1.92fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.10%52.22%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.821.811.8756.18%54.95%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 47.82%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 52.18%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.99%E -2.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.56%E -3.07%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.60%E -3.69%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.99%E -2.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.99%E -2.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.51%E -2.47%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.12%E -4.00%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.43%E -1.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.47%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.08%E -3.38%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25% | 0.2% | 2026-03-05 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |