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Northwestern Wildcats v Oregon Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northwestern Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 59.62%1.68fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.990%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.49%59.58%59.70%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.43%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oregon Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 40.38%2.48fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.42%40.30%41.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.332.332.4044.64%42.83%42.92%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 59.62%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 40.38%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.65, with an expected value of -1.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.63%E -0.990%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.63%E -0.990%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.02%E -2.50%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.50%E -2.35%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -9.54%E -4.26%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.12%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.00%E -4.49%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.00%E -4.49%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.59%E -4.90%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.59%E -4.90%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.91%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |