Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern St Demons v Houston Christian Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern St Demons (Local)

Prediction 57.00%1.75fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.00%57.01%58.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.651.7162.11%60.15%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Christian Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 43.00%2.33fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.98%43.00%42.99%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.2847.62%45.22%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern St Demons (Local): 57.00%; Houston Christian Huskies (Visit): 43.00%. For Houston Christian Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 02:45
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 12:45
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 15:12
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:10
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 03:34
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:20
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.97%E -0.862%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.95%E -3.60%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:40
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.09%E -4.35%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:09
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.09%E -4.35%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 20:01
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.56%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -8.23%E -5.11%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-02-21 21:25
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%1.7%2026-02-21 21:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-02-21 21:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-02-21 21:25