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Northern Iowa Panthers v Illinois St Redbirds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northern Iowa Panthers (Local)
Prediction 66.51%1.50fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.21%66.63%66.43%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.421.421.4772.99%70.41%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Illinois St Redbirds (Visit)
Prediction 33.49%2.99fair odd
EV +0.464%
Edge +0.155%
Kelly +0.232%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.37%33.57%34.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.682.842.853.0037.31%35.17%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northern Iowa Panthers (Local): 66.51%; Illinois St Redbirds (Visit): 33.49%. For Illinois St Redbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.464%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.464%E +0.155%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.464%E +0.155%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.464%E +0.155%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -0.206%E -0.069%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.21%E -0.410%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -8.88%E -6.48%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -1.88%E -0.642%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.88%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 22:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -2.89%E -1.98%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -4.89%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.23%E -1.52%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 23:47 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -10.25%E -3.83%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.89% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 30.11% | 0.1% | 2026-02-25 23:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |