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Northern Iowa Panthers v Evansville Purple Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northern Iowa Panthers (Local)
Prediction 89.73%1.11fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -38.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.51%89.83%89.64%91.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.071.0896.15%94.04%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Evansville Purple Aces (Visit)
Prediction 10.27%9.73fair odd
EV +10.95%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.122%
assuming max odds 10.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.86%10.17%10.36%12.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.878.7510.8013.33%11.28%11.43%9.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northern Iowa Panthers (Local): 89.73%; Evansville Purple Aces (Visit): 10.27%. For Evansville Purple Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.79%E -5.51%K -115.74%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +10.95%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.122% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +7.87%E +0.749%K +0.828%G +0.065% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.79%E -5.51%K -115.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +0.678%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.40%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.40%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.40%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.40%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.10%E -2.87%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 02:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.79%E -5.51%K -115.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.68%E -6.43%K -167.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.68%E -6.43%K -167.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 01:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.68%E -6.43%K -167.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.43%EV -6.68%E -6.43%K -167.10%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.57%EV -9.60%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -3.10%E -2.87%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -10.01%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -3.10%E -2.87%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -10.01%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -3.10%E -2.87%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -10.01%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -10.11%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -10.11%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -10.11%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.89%E -4.61%K -81.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.79%E -5.51%K -115.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.79%E -5.51%K -115.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.10%E -2.87%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.81%E -2.23%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.99%E -3.73%K -57.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.95%E -3.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 92.08% | 12.68I 7.89%NM 7.92% | -0.4% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.79% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 9.21% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 02:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 01:25 |