Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Illinois Huskies v Kent State Golden Flashes

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Illinois Huskies (Local)

Prediction 18.35%5.45fair odd
EV -0.905%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.206%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.56%18.52%18.22%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.984.905.4022.22%20.10%20.41%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kent State Golden Flashes (Visit)

Prediction 81.65%1.22fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -14.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.09%81.48%81.78%82.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.35%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northern Illinois Huskies (Local): 18.35%; Kent State Golden Flashes (Visit): 81.65%. For Northern Illinois Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.40, with an expected value of -0.905%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.905%E -0.168%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 15:40
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.905%E -0.168%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.10%E -5.31%K -40.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 16:39
Pinnacle🎯5.36I 18.66%NM 17.92%EV -1.64%E -0.306%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.08%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 21:15
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.66%E -0.697%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.65%E -3.10%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 17:50
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.66%E -0.697%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 15:25
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.66%E -0.697%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 16:40
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.66%E -0.697%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.66%E -0.697%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 15:25
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.66%E -0.697%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:05
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.66%E -0.697%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.10%E -5.31%K -40.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.58%E -0.880%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 15:25
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.58%E -0.880%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -5.49%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.65%E -3.10%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -5.49%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.65%E -3.10%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 17:39
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 15:08
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.25%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.92%E -6.07%K -49.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 16:35
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 17:40
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 17:40
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 17:40
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.10%E -5.31%K -40.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 16:35
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.10%E -5.31%K -40.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 16:35
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.10%E -5.31%K -40.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -11.00%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.83%EV -6.10%E -5.31%K -40.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 00:50
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.92%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.65%E -3.10%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 17:15
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.92%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.92%E -6.07%K -49.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.92%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.92%E -6.07%K -49.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 15:25
1xBet🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.50%EV -12.10%E -2.53%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.50%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -15.59%E -3.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:40
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -15.59%E -3.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:40
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -15.59%E -3.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:40
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -15.59%E -3.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.47%E -3.82%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.42%E -3.87%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 17:40
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.42%E -3.87%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.84%E -2.38%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-03-04 00:50
Polymarket5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-03-03 23:15
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%2.0%2026-03-03 17:00
Novig5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%2.5%2026-03-04 00:50